Come Bet Strategy
The easiest way to lose money all the time as a punter is to have no online sports betting strategy. One of the things that typically separates successful and professional punters apart from unsuccessful punters is the betting strategies employed. Successful punters recognize that one-size doesn’t fit all sports and games, and can tailor their approach to the game at hand. But above all, they have a personal conviction in these strategies, and do not make their move with every suggestion they come across. Before diving into the different betting strategies, let’s look at why betting strategies are super important.
The player should always leave the odds on regardless of how many come bets are active. When considering the options, looking at the probability of winning alone is not enough. Yes, with one come bet the odds of losing the come bet are greater than winning, however the potential win is.
© Adobe Stock/George Serban
- The Come Bet in Craps 1. A new shooter prepares to make a come-out roll for a new game. You make a $5 Flat Pass Line bet. The shooter rolls a. After a point is established, the only numbers that matter for Pass Line bets are 7 and the point.
- The strategy involves only betting on ‘even chance’ or 1:1 wagers. For every win, one coin is added to the total bet for the next spin. For every loss, one coin is taken away.
- Is it any other number, then this becomes your “come-point”. Their “come-point” is reached before a 7 you win. So a 9 is rolled, the stickman pushes your “Come” bet on the field at the 9th Now if the shooter rolls a 9 before a 7, you win, but will achieve a 7 before 9, you lose. Remember that when you “Come” bets also have the opportunity to share as a “pass” bet, a profit opportunity to use after your come-point was.
Here is an overview of the most popular betting strategies. Click on the link to learn more about each one:
Why Betting Strategies are Important
1. Betting strategies are important for punters who have adopted sports betting as a business and are committed to long-term success. This means you’ll commit time to learn the betting strategies that exist and create a proper plan for your success. This is important, considering that sports betting can sometimes be unpredictable, thus the need to base all your strategies on value betting — identifying games where the odds presented are not representative of the likely outcome.
2. In the the long run, you’ll identify specific strategies that work best for you, fit into your budget, and match your risk appetite. You’ll have a model that makes betting simple and profitable for you. Having a unique betting strategy also sets you apart from other punters and increases the chances of you winning. This is because betting companies include popular online betting strategies into their models and try to mitigate them as much as possible. Like we mentioned above, sports betting is a business; even if your business isn’t exclusive, you must develop your unique selling point or value proposition.
How to develop your betting strategies
As we inferred above, it would make a whole lot of sense to tweak the many betting strategies available today. But how do you get started?
1. Research and patiently read about all existing betting strategies. Our website extensively covers many general betting strategies. This research will form the foundation of your strategy and plans.
2. Be observant of the betting market and the sports you want to bet on. For example, the introduction of VAR into football has probably increased the number of penalties in football. This can be a starting point for a particular strategy. Be on the lookout for trends that jump out. However, make sure that the trends are not just perceived but also backed by facts and hard data, where applicable.
3. Now that the idea is formed, the next step is to seek other variables that may influence the idea you’ve identified. For example, a smaller stadium might make it easier for teams to concede corners. A stadium with a bad pitch may not favour an attacking brand of football in a match.
4. After settling on a strategy, the next step is to test and tweak. You test your theory/strategy with very small stakes and monitor how well you do with the bets you placed. With every result, examine if there’s any way you can adjust the strategy to include variables you overlooked, or to remove variables that do not affect the outcome.
Here is an overview of the most popular betting strategies. Click on the link to learn more about each one. Let the articles inform your choices and form the bedrock of your betting strategies.
Back & Lay
The Back & Lay strategy is one of the most popular strategies in the market. While “back”-bets are the most common kind of sports bets where you bet ON a certain outcome of a game/event, “lay”-bet means you’re betting AGAINST the same outcome. What makes this strategy so interesting is that you can deal and sell with your bets on book-makers like Betfair. […] Read more
© Konfambet Double Chance options
Double Chance
The Double Chance bet is an online betting strategy that is particularly interesting for risk-averse bettors. In this case, you’re betting on the probability that one of two events will happen. As a result of betting on two outcomes of a game, your odds to win the bet is enhanced by 33%.[…] Read more
Halftime/fulltime bets
With this betting system, the risk is a little greater. In this scenario, you bet on both the half-time and full-time scores/result of a game. In our overview, we provide ideas on what this kind of bet looks like when it is won, and give you information about your chances of winning. Additionally, we show you the most suitable sports for this strategy. […] Read more
Handicap
Handicap Bets are more applicable when you expect a favourite to win…and to win handsomely. You simply give the supposedly weaker team an advantage (handicap) and expect the favourite team to overcome the advantage. This way, you can get higher odds for teams who are expected to win 9.9 out of 10 games. […] Read more
Head-to-Head bets
The name gives this strategy away. You back one individual/team against another in a contest. This is most interesting when betting on individual sports, but you can also bet on two competitors in a team sport, and let them virtually step up against each other. […] Read more
Hedging
Similar to real stock markets, you can hedge your bets against possible losses through selling and buying other bets. Betfair is the most common book-maker that offers possibilities to hedge your bet. If you want to learn how it works and get a short introduction and good examples, follow the link and learn more about this betting strategy. […] Read more
Multibet
The goal of Multi-bets is to gain high combined odds by adding multiple single bets (called “legs”) to one bet. You should keep in mind that with this betting strategy, your risk of losing the bet increases with each added leg. Multi-bets or Multiples are most interesting with football bets but you can make a good profit out of other sports as well. […] Read more
Don't Come Bet Strategy
Last-Minute-Goal
In this article, we describe the attractive strategy of Last-Minute bets. Over the last few years, this strategy has become increasingly popular, especially with games that are being watched and where live bets are available. The further a game advances, the higher the odds of no goal to be scored gets. In this instance, you can bet against the current standings and you can earn some good profits. […] Read more
Lucky 15 bet
As an advancement of the Yankee Bet, the Lucky 15 Bet includes, obviously, 15 bets. These 15 bets comprise of 4 single bets, 6 two-leg multi, 4 three-leg multi, and 1 four-leg multi. How this strategy works and how big your chances of winning are, are shown in this article.[…] Read more
© Betwinner Over/Under options
Over/under
This nice and simple betting strategy is easily explained. You have to figure out if the score/points during a game was higher or lower than the expected score. Although it initially only included betting on the number of goals scored during a football match, you are now able to bet on almost everything that is countable. That is why this strategy is not only available for football bets but also other sports like basketball, tennis or every other game.[…] Read more
Scorecast/wincast
In both the scorecast and the wincast you have to bet on a player to score a goal. The only difference between those two strategies is that, in addition to predicting the scorer of a scorecast bet, you have to guess the exact result of the game; while for a wincast bet it is enough to predict the winning team. In both cases, you need a little luck to win but also a good knowledge of the competing teams.[…] Read more
Surebets
Surebets or arbitration are bets that will bring winnings through combinations of specific single bets placed on different bookmakers. To successfully make money with sure bets you have to find the most lucrative quotas from different bookmakers and calculate if these bets are indeed sure bets. […] Read more
System bets
System or Yankee bets are most interesting when you want to play risky bets. It is similar to multi-bets in the sense that they both require multiple selections. However, the difference is that with system bets you can still win money, even if one from your selection loses. For multi-bets, that is not the case. […] Read more
If we have caught your attention for sports betting strategies and everything that deals with it, we recommend you our Livetipsportal bet calculator app, where you can calculate your odds easily on your smartphone.
The Best Bets In Craps: Pass/Come and DonÂ’t Pass/DonÂ’t Come
By Jerry 'Stickman'
The game of craps can be very exciting. It can also be very frustrating. One of the great draws to this game is the variety of bets available. One can bet with the shooter – betting that he will make the point number before the 7 shows, or one can bet that the 7 will rear its ugly head before the shooter repeats the point number.
Of course, there are dozens of other bets also available; place bets, hard way bets, field bets, horn bets, whirl bets, hop bets, big 6, big 8 and big red. Each bet comes with its own probability of hitting, payback amount and related house edge.
Two of the very best bets on the table are the pass line / come bets (with the shooter), and the donÂ’t pass / donÂ’t come bets (against the shooter). Both of these bets have about a 1.4 percent house edge, but obviously pay at different times.
A pass line – on come-out (before a point is set) – wins if a 7 or 11 is tossed and loses when a 2, 3, or 12 appears. If any other number is thrown, that number becomes the point and the come-out cycle is over for the pass line bet. The point numbers (sometimes called box numbers because they are the numbers in the 'boxes' by the dealers) are 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, and 10.
The come bet works just like the pass line bet, but it is placed when a point is already established for the pass line. The player places the bet in the Come area. If a 7 or 11 appears, the bet wins. If a 2, 3, or 12 appears, the come bet loses. If any other number is rolled, the come bet is moved inside the square by the dealer that contains that number. The point is now established and the come-out cycle is over for that come bet.
If a 7 is rolled when there is a come bet in the Come area, the come bet wins but the pass line and any come bets that have already been moved to a point number lose.
The power of pass / come bets is realized during the come out phase. It wins on a 7 or 11 and loses on a 2, 3, or 12. There are six ways to make a 7 (1-6, 6-1, 2-5, 5-2, 3-4, 4-3) and two ways to make an 11 (5-6, 6-5) for a total of eight ways to win. There is one way to make a 2 (1-1), two ways to make a 3 (1-2, 2-1) and one way to make a 12 (6-6) for a total of four ways to lose. That is a 2-to-1 advantage. Once a point is established, however, the advatage swings solidly toward to house.
The don’t pass/don’t come works similar to the pass/come bet, however, you are betting the opposite way. On come-out, a don’t pass / don’t come loses if a 7 or 11 is thrown and wins if a 2 or 3 is rolled. If this bet were truly the opposite of the pass/come bet, the player would have an edge, so in order to tip the scales toward the house, the 12 appearing on come-out is a push – no one wins or loses. This one minor change is enough to swing the edge toward the house.
The edge is solidly with the house on the come-out with donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come bets. There are 8 ways to lose and only 3 ways to win, however , once you make it past the come-out, the edge favors the player.
Once a point is established, the pass/come, donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come player can add odds behind initial (flat) bet. This is called placing odds for the pass/come bet and laying odds for the donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come bet. On a win, the flat portion of the bet is paid even money and the odds are paid at true odds. For example, the odds of throwing a 4 before a 7 is 2-to-1. For a point of 4 the odds behind a pass or come bet are paid at 2 units for every unit bet. For donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come the odds are 1-to-2 that the 7 will appear before the 4, so the odds are paid at 1 unit for each 2 unit laid.
The flat portion of pass/come bets are considered 'contract' bets after the point is established. This means that the flat portion cannot be removed or reduced once the point is established. It can be increased however. The odds can be increased, decreased or removed at anytime.
DonÂ’t pass / donÂ’t come bets can be removed at any time since the player has the edge on these bets.
As stated previously, the house edge for pass/come, donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come bets is about 1.4 percent. Because the odds bets are paid at true odds, there is no house edge on the odds portion. By adding single odds (equal to the flat bet), the edge drops to .83 percent. At double odds it drops to .61% and at 5 times odds it drops to paltry 1/3 of one percent. This is why the pass/come and donÂ’t pass/donÂ’t come bets are the best in the game of craps.
Stick with this betting and your winning session will increase and the amount you lose will decrease. It is in the math.
May all your wins be swift and large and all your losses slow and tiny.
Jerry 'Stickman' is an expert in craps, blackjack and video poker and advantage slot machine play. He is a regular contributor to top gaming magazines. The 'Stickman' is also a certified instructor for Golden Touch Craps and Golden Touch Blackjack. For more information visit www.goldentouchcraps.com or www.goldentouchblackjack.com or call 1-886-738-3423. You can contact Jerry 'Stickman' at stickmanGTC@aol.com